|
| :: Previous topic :: Next topic |
| Author |
Message |
howg
Joined: 24 Mar 2006 Posts: 45
|
Posted: Sun Jul 11, 2010 7:27 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| MichaelC wrote: | Since we are getting into this area, let's start with the fact that the LEGITIMATE costs - i.e. authorized by the Constitution - of the USA federal government are, I would estimate, about 10% or less of the actual costs.
The other 90% is criminal extortion of the populace through taxes and inflation to finance socialism, wars, and the drug and the banking cartels (not necessarily in that order). |
Hi Michael,
I do not think there is anyone on the planet with a lower opinion of government (as it is) than I, so no argument there!
But that's why I qualified my comments by saying that I do not necessarily endorse the system we have, I am only saying that if we were to cut spending to any degree, public and/or private, then our economy would contract accordingly, and a downward spiral, a chain reaction, would occur.
What am I missing here?
Do you agree with that conclusion or not?
No point jumping to conclusions or recommendations if we disagree on the basics.
Many argue that big government got us into this mess,
but I think we were already in a mess, and big government was instituted as a cure, rather than the cause.
The best overview, covering the last century or so, I have ever come across is one of Fintan's audios..
Fintan, if you're reading this, please help me out and post a link to that audio, (I'm sure you know the one I refer to).
Economics 101 became virtually obsolete with the advent of the industrial revolution, and very few are addressing this dilemma either.
Like all other bubbles, it was only temporary and forestalls the inevitable.
But again, no point getting into any of this if we disagree on some very basic points.
I also find it interesting that your list of grievances did not include money creation.
Your treasury should be creating your money (at zero interest),
rather than borrowing it from a private banking cartel.
If your government did follow the constitution and reduced spending by 90%,
still... what would they be spending? Money or bank debt?
Re. Socialism, please read the following article.
These words have been so distorted that they bear no resemblance to their original meanings whatsoever.
I'll take (real) socialism over fascism (our current system) any day.
That is, I'll take a government that represents my interests over psychopathic corporate interests in a nano-second!
To think that the US has a socialist government is utterly delusional
H |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
howg
Joined: 24 Mar 2006 Posts: 45
|
Posted: Sun Jul 11, 2010 7:34 pm Post subject: |
|
|
http://www.comer.org/History/framemelt.htm
What "Nationalize the Banks" and the "Free Market" Really Mean in Today's Looking-Glass World
The Language of Looting
By MICHAEL HUDSON
"Banking shares began to plunge Friday morning after Senator Dodd, the Connecticut Democrat who is chairman of the banking committee, said in an interview with Bloomberg Television that he was concerned the government might end up nationalizing some lenders “at least for a short time.” Several other prominent policy makers – including Alan Greenspan, the former chairman of the Federal Reserve, and Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina – have echoed that view recently.”
--Eric Dash, “Growing Worry on Rescue Takes a Toll on Banks,” The New York Times, February 20, 2009
How is it that Alan Greenspan, free-market lobbyist for Wall Street, recently announced that he favored nationalization of America’s banks – and indeed, mainly the biggest and most powerful? Has the old disciple of Ayn Rand gone Red in the night? Surely not.
The answer is that the rhetoric of “free markets,” “nationalization” and even “socialism” (as in “socializing the losses”) has been turned into the language of deception to help the financial sector mobilize government power to support its own special privileges. Having undermined the economy at large, Wall Street’s public relations think tanks are now dismantling the language itself.
Exactly what does “a free market” mean? Is it what the classical economists advocated – a market free from monopoly power, business fraud, political insider dealing and special privileges for vested interests – a market protected by the rise in public regulation from the Sherman Anti-Trust law of 1890 to the Glass-Steagall Act and other New Deal legislation? Or is it a market free for predators to exploit victims without public regulation or economic policemen – the kind of free-for-all market that the Federal Reserve and Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) have created over the past decade or so? It seems incredible that people should accept today’s neoliberal idea of “market freedom” in the sense of neutering government watchdogs, Alan Greenspan-style, letting Angelo Mozilo at Countrywide, Hank Greenberg at AIG, Bernie Madoff, Citibank, Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers loot without hindrance or sanction, plunge the economy into crisis and then use Treasury bailout money to pay the highest salaries and bonuses in U.S. history.
Terms that are the antithesis of “free market” also are being turned into the opposite of what they historically have meant. Take today’s discussions about nationalizing the banks. For over a century nationalization has meant public takeover of monopolies or other sectors to operate them in the public interest rather than leaving them so special interests. But when neoliberals use the word “nationalization” they mean a bailout, a government giveaway to the financial interests.
Doublethink and doubletalk with regard to “nationalizing” or “socializing” the banks and other sectors is a travesty of political and economic discussion from the 17th through mid-20th centuries. Society’s basic grammar of thought, the vocabulary to discuss political and economic topics, is being turned inside-out in an effort to ward off discussion of the policy solutions posed by the classical economists and political philosophers that made Western civilization “Western.”
Today’s clash of civilization is not really with the Orient; it is with our own past, with the Enlightenment itself and its evolution into classical political economy and Progressive Era social reforms aimed at freeing society from the surviving trammels of European feudalism. What we are seeing is propaganda designed to deceive, to distract attention from economic reality so as to promote the property and financial interests from whose predatory grasp classical economists set out to free the world. What is being attempted is nothing less than an attempt to destroy the intellectual and moral edifice of what took Western civilization eight centuries to develop, from the 12th century Schoolmen discussing Just Price through 19th and 20th century classical economic value theory.
Any idea of “socialism from above,” in the sense of “socializing the risk,” is old-fashioned oligarchy – kleptocratic statism from above. Real nationalization occurs when governments act in the public interest to take over private property. The 19th-century program to nationalize the land (it was the first plank of the Communist Manifesto) did not mean anything remotely like the government taking over estates, paying off their mortgages at public expense and then giving it back to the former landlords free and clear of encumbrances and taxes. It meant taking the land and its rental income into the public domain, and leasing it out at a user fee ranging from actual operating cost to a subsidized rate or even freely as in the case of streets and roads.
Nationalizing the banks along these lines would mean that the government would supply the nation’s credit needs. The Treasury would become the source of new money, replacing commercial bank credit. Presumably this credit would be lent out for economically and socially productive purposes, not merely to inflate asset prices while loading down households and business with debt as has occurred under today’s commercial bank lending policies.
How neoliberals falsify the West’s political history
The fact that today’s neoliberals claim to be the intellectual descendants of Adam Smith make it necessary to restore a more accurate historical perspective. Their concept of “free markets” is the antithesis of Smith’s. It is the opposite of that of the classical political economists down through John Stuart Mill, Karl Marx and the Progressive Era reforms that sought to create markets free of extractive rentier claims by special interests whose institutional power can be traced back to medieval Europe and its age of military conquest.
Economic writers from the 16th through 20th centuries recognized that free markets required government oversight to prevent monopoly pricing and other charges levied by special privilege. By contrast, today’s neoliberal ideologues are public relations advocates for vested interests to depict a “free market” is one free of government regulation, “free” of anti-trust protection, and even of protection against fraud, as evidenced by the SEC’s refusal to move against Madoff, Enron, Citibank et al.). The neoliberal ideal of free markets is thus basically that of a bank robber or embezzler, wishing for a world without police so as to be sufficiently free to siphon off other peoples’ money without constraint.
The Chicago Boys in Chile realized that markets free for predatory finance and insider privatization could only be imposed at gunpoint. These free-marketers closed down every economics department in Chile, every social science department outside of the Catholic University where the Chicago Boys held sway. Operation Condor arrested, exiled or murdered tens of thousands of academics, intellectuals, labor leaders and artists. Only by totalitarian control over the academic curriculum and public media backed by an active secret police and army could “free markets” neoliberal style be imposed. The resulting privatization at gunpoint became an exercise in what Marx called “primitive accumulation” – seizure of the public domain by political elites backed by force. It is a free market William-the-Conqueror or Yeltsin-kleptocrat style, with property parceled out to the companions of the political or military leader.
All this was just the opposite of the kind of free markets that Adam Smith had in mind when he warned that businessmen rarely get together but to plot ways to fix markets to their advantage. This is not a problem that troubled Mr. Greenspan or the editorial writers of the New York Times and Washington Post. There really is no kinship between their neoliberal ideals and those of the Enlightenment political philosophers. For them to promote an idea of free markets as ones “free” for political insiders to pry away the public domain for themselves is to lower an intellectual Iron Curtain on the history of economic thought.
The classical economists and American Progressives envisioned markets free of economic rent and interest – free of rentier overhead charges and monopoly price gouging, free of land-rent, interest paid to bankers and wealthy financial institutions, and free of taxes to support an oligarchy. Governments were to base their tax systems on collecting the “free lunch” of economic rent, headed by that of favorable locations supplied by nature and given market value by public investment in transportation and other infrastructure, not by the efforts of landlords themselves.
The argument between Progressive Era reformers, socialists, anarchists and individualists thus turned on the political strategy of how best to free markets from debt and rent. Where they differed was on the best political means to achieve it, above all the role of the state. There was broad agreement that the state was controlled by vested interests inherited from feudal Europe’s military conquests and the world that was colonized by European military force. The political question at the turn of the 20th century was whether peaceful democratic reform could overcome the political and even military resistance wielded by the Old Regime using violence to retain its “rights.” The ensuing political revolutions were grounded in the Enlightenment, in the legal philosophy of men such as John Locke, political economists such as Adam Smith, John Stuart Mill and Marx. Power was to be used to free markets from the predatory property and financial systems inherited from feudalism. Markets were to be free of privilege and free lunches, so that people would obtain income and wealth only by their own labor and enterprise. This was the essence of the labor theory of value and its complement, the concept of economic rent as the excess of market price over socially necessary cost-value.
Although we now know that markets and prices, rent and interest, contractual formalities and nearly all the elements of economic enterprise originated in the “mixed economies” of Mesopotamia in the fourth millennium BC and continued throughout the mixed public/private economies of classical antiquity, the discussion was so politically polarized that the idea of a mixed economy with checks and balances received scant attention a century ago.
Individualists believed that all that shrinking central governments would shrink the control mechanism by which the vested interests extracted wealth without work or enterprise of their own. Socialists saw that a strong government was needed to protect society from the attempts of property and finance to use their gains to monopolize economic and political power. Both ends of the political spectrum aimed at the same objective – to bring prices down to actual costs of production. The common aim was to maximize economic efficiency so as to pass on the fruits of the Industrial and Agricultural Revolutions to the population at large. This required blocking the rentier class of interlopers from grabbing the public domain and controlling the allocation of resources. Socialists did not believe this could be done without taking the state’s political and legal power into their own hands. Marxists believed that a revolution was necessary to reclaim property rent for the public domain, and to enable governments to create their own credit rather than borrow at interest from commercial bankers and wealthy bondholders. The aim was not to create a bureaucracy but to free society from the surviving absentee ownership power of the vested property and financial interests.
All this history of economic thought has been as thoroughly expunged from today’s academic curriculum as it has from popular discussion. Few people remember the great debate at the turn of the 20th century: Would the world progress fairly quickly from Progressive Era reforms to outright socialism – public ownership of basic economic infrastructure, natural monopolies (including the banking system) and the land itself (and to Marxists, of industrial capital as well)? Or, could the liberal reformers of the day – individualists, land taxers, classical economists in the tradition of Mill, and American institutionalists such as Simon Patten – retain capitalism’s basic structure and private property ownership? If they could do so, they recognized that it would have to be in the context of regulating markets and introducing progressive taxation of wealth and income. This was the alternative to outright “state” ownership. Today’s extreme “free market” idea is a dumbed-down caricature of this position.
All sides viewed the government as society’s “brain,” its forward planning organ. Given the complexity of modern technology, humanity would shape its own evolution. Instead of evolution occurring by “primitive accumulation,” it could be planned deliberately. Individualists countered that no human planner was sufficiently imaginative to manage the complexity of markets, but endorsed the need to strip away all forms of unearned income – economic rent and the rise in land prices that Mill called the “unearned increment.” This involved government regulation to shape markets. A “free market” was an active political creation and required regulatory vigilance.
As public relations advocates for the vested interests and special rentier privilege, today’s “neoliberal” advocates of “free” markets seek to maximize economic rent – the free lunch of price in excess of cost-value, not to free markets from rentier charges. So misleading a pedigree only could be achieved by outright suppression of knowledge of what Locke, Smith and Mill really wrote. Attempts to regulate “free markets” and limit monopoly pricing and privilege are conflated with “socialism,” even with Soviet-style bureaucracy. The aim is to deter the analysis of what a “free market” really is: a market free of unnecessary costs: monopoly rents, property rents and financial charges for credit that governments can create freely.
Political reform to bring market prices in line with socially necessary cost-value was the great economic issue of the 19th century. The labor theory of intrinsic cost-value found its counterpart in the theory of economic rent: land rent, monopoly price gouging, interest and other returns to special privilege that increased market prices purely by institutional property claims. The discussion goes all the way back to the medieval churchmen defining Just Price. The doctrine originally was applied to the proper fees that bankers could charge, and later was extended to land rent, then to the monopolies that governments created and sold off to creditors in an attempt to extricate themselves from debt.
Reformists and more radical socialists alike sought to free capitalism of its egregious inequities, above all its legacy from Europe’s Dark Age of military conquest when invading warlords seized lands and imposed an absentee landlord class to receive the rental income, which was used to finance wars of further land acquisition. As matters turned out, hopes that industrial capitalism could reform itself along progressive lines to purge itself of its legacy from feudalism have come crashing down. World War I hit the global economy like a comet, pushing it into a new trajectory and catalyzing its evolution into an unanticipated form of finance capitalism.
It was unanticipated largely because most reformers spent so much effort advocating progressive policies that they neglected what Thorstein Veblen called the vested interests. Their Counter-Enlightenment is creating a world that would have been deemed a dystopia a century ago – something so pessimistic that no futurist dared depict a world run by venal and corrupt bankers, protecting as their prime customers the monopolies, real estate speculators and hedge funds whose economic rent, financial gambling and asset-price inflation is turned into a flow of interest in today’s rentier economy. Instead of industrial capitalism increasing capital formation we are seeing finance capitalism strip capital, and instead of the promised world of leisure we are being drawn into one of debt peonage.
The financial travesty of democracy
The financial sector has redefined democracy by claiming claims that the Federal Reserve must be “independent” from democratically elected representatives, in order to act as the bank lobbyist in Washington. This makes the financial sector exempt from the democratic political process, despite the fact that today’s economic planning is now centralized in the banking system. The result is a regime of insider dealings and oligarchy – rule by the wealthy few.
The economic fallacy at work is that bank credit is a veritable factor of production, an almost Physiocratic source of fertility without which growth could not occur. The reality is that the monopoly right to create interest-bearing bank credit is a free transfer from society to a privileged elite. The moral is that when we see a “factor of production” that has no actual labor-cost of production, it is simply an institutional privilege.
So this brings us to the most recent debate about “nationalizing” or “socializing” the banks. The Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) so far has been used for the following uses that I think can be truly deemed anti-social, not “socialist” in any form.
By the end of last year, $20 billion was used to pay bonuses and salaries to financial mismanagers, despite the plunge of their banks into negative equity. And to protect their interests, these banks continued to pay lobbying fees to persuade legislators to give them yet more special privileges.
While Citibank and other major institutions threatened to bring the financial system crashing down by being “too big to fail,” over $100 billion of TARP funds was used to make them even bigger. Already teetering banks bought affiliates that had grown by making irresponsible and outright fraudulent loans. Bank of America bought Angelo Mozilo’s Countrywide Financial and Merrill Lynch, while JP Morgan Chase bought Bear Stearns and other big banks bought WaMu and Wachovia.
Today’s policy is to “rescue” these giant bank conglomerates by enabling them to “earn” their way out of debt – by selling yet more debt to an already over-indebted U.S. economy. The hope is to re-inflate real estate and other asset prices. But do we really want to let banks “pay back taxpayers” by engaging in yet more predatory financial practices vis-à-vis the economy at large? It threatens to maximize the margin of market price over direct costs of production, by building in higher financial charges. This is just the opposite policy from trying to bring prices for housing and infrastructure in line with technologically necessary costs. It certainly is not a policy to make the U.S. economy more globally competitive.
The Treasury’s plan to “socialize” the banks, insurance companies and other financial institutions is simply to step in and take bad loans off their books, shifting the loss onto the public sector. This is the antithesis of true nationalization or “socialization” of the financial system. The banks and insurance companies quickly got over their initial knee-jerk fear that a government bailout would occur on terms that would wipe out their bad management, along with the stockholders and bondholders who backed this bad management. The Treasury has assured these mismanagers that “socialism” for them is a free gift. The primacy of finance over the rest of the economy will be affirmed, leaving management in place and giving stockholders a chance to recover by earning more from the economy at large, with yet more tax favoritism. (This means yet heavier taxes shifted onto consumers, raising their living costs accordingly.)
The bulk of wealth under capitalism – as under feudalism –always has come primarily from the public domain, headed by the land and formerly public utilities, capped most recently by the Treasury’s debt-creating power. In effect, the Treasury creates a new asset ($11 trillion of new Treasury bonds and guarantees, e.g. the $5.2 trillion to Fannie and Freddie). Interest on these bonds is to be paid by new levies on labor, not on property. This is what is supposed to re-inflate housing, stock and bond prices – the money freed from property and corporate taxes will be available to be capitalized into yet new loans.
So the revenue hitherto paid as business taxes will still be paid – in the form of interest – while the former taxes will still be collected, but from labor. The fiscal-financial burden thus will be doubled. This is not a program to make the economy more competitive or raise living standards for most people. It is a program to polarize the U.S. economy even further between finance, insurance and real estate (FIRE) at the top and labor at the bottom.
Neoliberal denunciations of public regulation and taxation as “socialism” is really an attack on classical political economy – the “original” liberalism whose ideal was to free society from the parasitic legacy of feudalism. A truly socialized Treasury policy would be for banks to lend for productive purposes that contribute to real economic growth, not merely to increase overhead and inflate asset prices by enough to extract interest charges. Fiscal policy would aim to minimize rather than maximizing the price of home ownership and doing business, by basing the tax system on collecting the rent that is now being paid out as interest. Shifting the tax burden off wages and profits onto rent and interest was the core of classical political economy in the 18th and 19th centuries, as well as the Progressive Era and Social Democratic reform movements in the United States and Europe prior to World War I. But this doctrine and its reform program has been buried by the rhetorical smokescreen organized by financial lobbyists seeking to muddy the ideological waters sufficiently to mute popular opposition to today’s power grab by finance capital and monopoly capital. Their alternative to true nationalization and socialization of finance is debt peonage, oligarchy and neo-feudalism. They have called this program “free markets.”
Michael Hudson is a former Wall Street economist. A Distinguished Research Professor at University of Missouri, Kansas City (UMKC), he is the author of many books, including Super Imperialism: The Economic Strategy of American Empire (new ed., Pluto Press, 2002) He can be reached via his website, [email protected] |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Fintan Site Admin

Joined: 18 Jan 2006 Posts: 4215
|
Posted: Sun Jul 11, 2010 8:33 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| Quote: | The Con of the Decade Part I
July 8, 2010 - Charles Hugh Smith
The con of the decade (Part I) involves the transfer of private debt to
the public (the marks), who then pays interest forever to the con artists.
I've laid out the Con of the Decade (Part I) in outline form:
1. Enable trillions of dollars in mortgages guaranteed to default by packaging unlimited quantities of them into mortgage-backed securities (MBS), creating umlimited demand for fraudulently originated loans.
2. Sell these MBS as "safe" to credulous investors, institutions, town councils in Norway, etc., i.e. "the bezzle" on a global scale.
3. Make huge "side bets" against these doomed mortgages so when they default then the short-side bets generate billions in profits.
4. Leverage each $1 of actual capital into $100 of high-risk bets.
5. Hide the utterly fraudulent bets offshore and/or off-balance sheet (not that the regulators you had muzzled would have noticed anyway).
6. When the longside bets go bad, transfer hundreds of billions of dollars in Federal guarantees, bailouts and backstops into the private hands which made the risky bets, either via direct payments or via proxies like AIG. Enable these private Power Elites to borrow hundreds of billions more from the Treasury/Fed at zero interest.
7. Deposit these funds at the Federal Reserve, where they earn 3-4%. Reap billions in guaranteed income by borrowing Federal money for free and getting paid interest by the Fed.
8. As profits pile up, start buying boatloads of short-term U.S. Treasuries. Now the taxpayers who absorbed the trillions in private losses and who transferred trillions in subsidies, backstops, guarantees, bailouts and loans to private banks and corporations, are now paying interest on the Treasuries their own money purchased for the banks/corporations.
9. Slowly acquire trillions of dollars in Treasuries--not difficult to do as the Federal government is borrowing $1.5 trillion a year.
10. Stop buying Treasuries and dump a boatload onto the market, forcing interest rates to rise as supply of new T-Bills exceeds demand (at least temporarily). Repeat as necessary to double and then triple interest rates paid on Treasuries.
11. Buy hundreds of billions in long-term Treasuries at high rates of interest. As interest rates rise, interest payments dwarf all other Federal spending, forcing extreme cuts in all other government spending.
12. Enjoy the hundreds of billions of dollars in interest payments being paid by taxpayers on Treasuries that were purchased with their money but which are safely in private hands.
Since the Federal government could potentially inflate away these trillions in Treasuries, buy enough elected officials to force austerity so inflation remains tame. In essence, these private banks and corporations now own the revenue stream of the Federal government and its taxpayers. Neat con, and the marks will never understand how "saving our financial system" led to their servitude to the very interests they bailed out.
The circle is now complete: in "saving our financial system," the public borrowed trillions and transferred the money to private Power Elites, who then buy the public debt with the money swindled out of the taxpayer. Then the taxpayers transfer more wealth every year to the Power Elites/Plutocracy in the form of interest on the Treasury debt. The Power Elites will own the debt that was taken on to bail them out of bad private bets: this is the culmination of privatized gains, socialized risk.
In effect, it's a Third World/colonial scam on a gigantic scale: plunder the public treasury, then buy the debt which was borrowed and transferred to your pockets. You are buying the country with money you borrowed from its taxpayers. No despot could do better.
http://www.oftwominds.com/blogjuly10/con-of-decade07-10.html |
| Quote: | The Con of the Decade Part II
July 9, 2010
The con of the decade (Part II) involves sheltering the Power Elites' income while raising taxes on the debt-serfs to pay the interest owed the Power Elites.
The Con of the Decade (Part II) meshes neatly with the first Con of the Decade. Yesterday I described how the financial Plutocracy can transfer ownership of the Federal government's income stream via using the taxpayer's money to buy the debt that the taxpayers borrowed to bail out the Plutocracy.
In order for the con to work, however, the Power Elites and their politico toadies in Congress, the Treasury and the Fed must convince the peasantry that low tax rates on unearned income are not just "free market capitalism at its best" but that they are also "what the country needs to get moving again."
The first step of the con was successfully fobbed off on the peasantry in 2001: lower the taxes paid by the most productive peasants marginally while massively lowering the effective taxes paid by the financial Plutocracy.
One Year Later, No Sign of Improvement in America's Income Inequality Problem:
Income inequality has grown massively since 2000. According to Harvard Magazine, 66% of 2001-2007's income growth went to the top 1% of Americans, while the other 99% of the population got a measly 6% increase. How is this possible? One thing to consider is that in 2001, George W. Bush cut $1.3 trillion in taxes, and 32.6% of the cut went to the top 1%. Another factor is Bush's decision to increase the national debt from $5 trillion to $11 trillion. The combination of increased government spending and lower taxes helped the top 1% considerably.
The second part of the con is to mask much of the Power Elites' income streams behind tax shelters and other gaming-of-the-system so the advertised rate appears high to the peasantry but the effective rate paid on total income is much much lower.
The tax shelters are so numerous and so effective that it takes thousands of pages of tax codes and armies of toadies to pursue them all: family trusts, oil depletion allowances, tax-free bonds and of course special one-off tax breaks arranged by "captured" elected officials.
Step three is to convince the peasantry that $600 in unearned income (capital gains) should be taxed in the same way as $600 million. The entire key to the U.S. tax code is to tax earned income heavily but tax unearned income (the majority of the Plutocracy's income is of course unearned) not at all or very lightly.
In a system which rewarded productive work and provided disincentives to rampant speculation and fraud, the opposite would hold: unearned income would be taxed at much higher rates than earned income, which would be taxed lightly, especially at household incomes below $100,000.
If the goal were to encourage "investing" while reining in the sort of speculations which "earn" hedge fund managers $600 million each (no typo, that was the average of the top 10 hedgies' personal take of their funds gains), then all unearned income (interest, dividends, capital gains, rents from property, oil wells, etc.) up to $6,000 a year would be free--no tax. Unearned income between $6,000 and $60,000 would be taxed at 20%, roughly half the top rate for earned income. This would leave 95% of U.S. households properly encouraged to invest via low tax rates.
Above $60,000, then unearned income would be taxed the same as earned income, and above $1 million (the top 1/10 of 1% of households) then it would be taxed at 50%. Above $10 million, it would be taxed at 60%. Such a system would offer disincentives to the speculative hauls made by the top 1/10 of 1% while encouraging investing in the lower 99%.
Could such a system actually be passed into law and enforced by a captured, toady bureaucracy and Congress? Of course not. But it is still a worthy exercise to take apart the rationalizations being offered to justify rampant speculative looting, collusion, corruption and fraud.
The last step of the con is to raise taxes on the productive peasantry to provide the revenues needed to pay the Plutocracy its interest on Treasuries. If the "Bush tax cuts" are repealed, the actual effective rates paid on unearned income will remain half (20%) of the rates on earned income (wages, salaries, profits earned from small business, etc.) which are roughly 40% at higher income levels.
The financial Plutocracy will champion the need to rein in Federal debt, now that they have raised the debt via plundering the public coffers and extended ownership over that debt.
Now the con boils down to insuring the peasantry pay enough taxes to pay the interest on the Federal debt--interest which is sure to rise considerably. The 1% T-Bill rates were just part of the con to convince the peasantry that trillions of dollars could be borrowed "with no consequences." Those rates will steadily rise once the financial Power Elites own enough of the Treasury debt. Then the game plan will be to lock in handsome returns on long-term Treasuries, and command the toady politicos to support "austerity."
The austerity will not extend to the financial Elites, of course. That's the whole purpose of the con. "Some are more equal than others," indeed.
http://www.oftwominds.com/blogjuly10/con-of-decade-pt2-07-10.html |
_________________ Minds are like parachutes.
They only function when open. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
howg
Joined: 24 Mar 2006 Posts: 45
|
Posted: Sun Jul 11, 2010 8:58 pm Post subject: |
|
|
Con of the decade...??
Sounds more like the con of the millennium!!
But ya gotta hand it to them...
Daboyz are not stupid!
 |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
MichaelC

Joined: 06 Jul 2006 Posts: 1895
|
Posted: Mon Jul 12, 2010 2:30 am Post subject: |
|
|
Fintan, as usual, speaks the truth:
| Quote: | The con of the decade (Part I) involves the transfer of private debt to
the public (the marks), who then pays interest forever to the con artists.
|
The basic problem...without which the con game would never get off the ground - is government(tax-slaver financed) insurance/guarantees of private financial instiutions.
This includes 'deposit insurance' and all other government bailouts of private enterprises.
"Caveat emptor" is in the final analysis the only sound policy. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Fintan Site Admin

Joined: 18 Jan 2006 Posts: 4215
|
Posted: Tue Jul 20, 2010 2:49 am Post subject: |
|
|
While people in major Western countries are
ripped off and impoverished without yet a
major backlash, workers in China may
aren't so malleable:
| Quote: | Chinese Workers Force the Issue
It's starting to look like Chinese labor has had enough. Led by workers at the Honda Motors plant in Zhangshan, and perhaps spurred by the suicides of ten workers this year at Foxconn Technology (a supplier to high technology companies such as Apple, Dell, and Hewlett-Packard), Chinese factory workers and other laborers across the country are going on strike.
In so doing, these workers are defying the orders of their government-run unions and risking dismissal by their employers. I believe that this monumental step in the development of China's economy will result in a positive outcome. From an international perspective, these strikes may do more than improve working conditions in Chinese factories; they may, in fact, force a currency reform (long-delayed by the Chinese Communist Party) that will have serious implications for the global economy.
Since at least 2001, when China acceded to the World Trade Organization and accelerated its dramatic export-led growth, American businesses and workers have complained bitterly that Chinese manufacturers enjoy an unfair advantage by virtue of the PRC's currency manipulation. The argument - which Americans also alleged against the Japanese in the 1970s and '80s - is that by inflating its currency, the government of China is deliberately keeping the prices of its goods low, thereby taking market share from US businesses and jobs from US workers.
The Economic Policy Institute recently estimated that the United States lost 2.4 million jobs since 2001 to China alone. Economist Peter Morici estimated that the US economy would likely be $1 trillion larger than it is now were it not for our trade deficits with China.
For years, the Chinese government has steadfastly refused to allow its currency to float freely, fearing that a higher yuan would choke off exports, leading to slower economic growth. There was a brief respite a few years ago, when the People's Bank of China allowed the yuan to appreciate by approximately 20% from July 2005 to July 2008. However, the Chinese government has generally taken the approach that it will not bow to external pressures, but rather manage its currency in accordance with China's own internal needs.
This situation has led to increased tension in Sino-American relations. The US recently came close to branding China a "currency manipulator," a label which implies the threat of trade sanctions. And once again, Beijing reiterated its policy of not succumbing to foreign influences in managing the yuan. As of this writing, the dollar-yuan exchange rate remains fixed.
But with Chinese workers now striking across their industrial heartland, China's internal pressures are beginning to exceed the anemic pressure brought by Washington. This may finally push the Communist Party toward reform.
Officials in Beijing know that, in reality, the Chinese workers are not striking against management, as we might expect in the West, but against the ruinous inflation caused by the People's Bank of China (PBoC). In order to maintain the 'peg' of the strengthening yuan to the weakening US dollar, the PBoC has been forced to print new money in lockstep with the Federal Reserve. Since the start of the financial crisis, the Federal Reserve has more than doubled the number of dollars in circulation.
This inflation, exported to China via the peg, has resulted in frothy real estate prices in some Chinese markets, as well as consumer prices increasing at a rate of more than 3% per year (and probably much higher, given the propensity for all governments to systematically understate this data). According to the Washington Post, there is widespread "frustration among younger, urbanized workers that their wages have stayed relatively meager even as prices all around them -- particularly for housing -- have soared."
With over one billion citizens, the Chinese government cannot afford widespread unrest. They must find a way to nip their labor issues in the bud. The best policy approach would involve yuan revaluation. By reducing the rate of inflation of the Chinese yuan, the purchasing power of the yuan will increase, thereby allowing Chinese workers to better enjoy the fruits of their labor. As living standards rise, worker unrest will subside, and the impetus to strike will vanish.
In this way, raising the value of the yuan will relieve both internal (labor) and external (foreign government) pressures; it is an elegant solution to a seemingly complex problem.
In the short-term, employers have already agreed to wage hikes, in order to placate their employees. But in the long-term, the best answer is for the Chinese to stop inflating their currency and allow their workers to enjoy a (much deserved) higher standard of living - while silencing their foreign critics.
http://www.safehaven.com/article/17193/chinese-workers-force-the-issue |
_________________ Minds are like parachutes.
They only function when open. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Fintan Site Admin

Joined: 18 Jan 2006 Posts: 4215
|
Posted: Tue Jul 20, 2010 3:02 am Post subject: |
|
|
| Quote: | The tax cut stimulus is going away.
The car purchase tax credits are going away.
The mortgage bond monetization program is going away.
The jobless benefit extension beyond 99 weeks is going away.
The lack of job prospects is not going away. The missing incentive for business expansion is not going away. The vast budget gaps and pension obligations for many US states is not going away. The home foreclosures and bankruptcies are not going away. The challenges in securing credit and loans is not going away. The syndicate control of the USDept Treasury is not going away. The sacred defense budget is not going away.
CRISIS REDUX: ROAD TO PERDITION
Jim Willie CB - July 7, 2010
Time to awaken to a new dreadful reality. Just like autumn 2008, all over again, the stock market is breaking down in a powerful visible manner, after nothing was fixed with the vast financial structures but much money was spent.
If only the USGovt had decided to address the problems instead of funding the myriad liquidity facilities, which by the way serve as a virtual banking system.
If only the USGovt had decided to address the problems instead of funding the US Federal Reserve equity reserves, as in excess bank reserve lures.
If only the USGovt had decided to address the problems instead of funding the bank preferred stock and bank executive bonuses.
If only the USGovt had decided to address the fundamental need for capital formation toward job growth instead of simple extensions of jobless benefits.
If only the USGovt had decided to address the dire need to liquidate impaired assets instead of warehousing them, which has produced a form of constipation within the bank system loan processing.
If only the USGovt had decided to address the cancerous large corporations too big to fail that must be permitted a funeral, instead of letting them continue to control vital government finance ministries.
If only the USGovt had decided to address one of the root causes of USEconomic deterioration, namely endless war, so that more funds would be available for that essential capital formation and job growth, not to mention state budget plugs, as the 50 states suffer from massive capital drain through taxation re-routed to the federal level.
When no solutions are achieved, even no solutions pursued, the sugar high vanishes, the adrenalin rush wears off, and the underlying root causes return as the same symptoms to the sick patient. With no remedy, the symptoms turn much worse!! The symptoms return with a vengeance, as seen right now. Shocks to the body economic are imminent, assured by lack of required credit for almost two years, compounded by the Gulf of Mexico toxic event applied to the Southern appendages.
One of the hidden devious factors is that the supposedly excess bank reserves parked at the USFed are actually Loan Loss Reserves attracted by the USFed itself, by virtue of interest yield offered. Banks are running naked and insolvent and constipated. The extraordinary measures have worn off, as has political will to sustain them. A rot has permeated the USEconomy. Personal bankruptcies are up 14% in the first half of 2010, hardly a sign of a recovery. Home sales are down, no longer buttressed. Foreclosures are unrelenting, the American Tragedy. Retail sales are down. Factory orders are down. California might look worse than Greece. About one million Americans have dropped out of the jobs market in the last two months. Eight million jobs have been lost in the recession that never actually ended. The rolls of people unemployed but not receiving a jobless insurance check amount to 9.2 million. The USFed has begun to eye the Printing Pre$$ once again. Internal battles within the USFed center upon asset deflation and resumed bond monetization. The august body serving on the US Federal Reserve Board argue in heated fashion about QE2, a Round #2 of powerful monetary printing, bond purchase, and financial market tampering, with predictably destructive capital formation effects toward which they remain unaware.
U.S. STOCK MARKET SLIDING OVER THE CLIFF
The S&P500 stock index carries added meaning, since the large swath of US citizens who are not insolvent choose to react strongly to the assaults on stock account wealth. Paper wealth is fast vanishing, part of the convulsions witnessed to the fiat paper monetary system. First the US banking system died in autumn 2008, still an unrecognized fact. Next the global monetary system is dying. Denial is rampant. The people react with fear, alarm, and anger when their pension and mutual funds suffer significant loss. Those funds suffered significant loss in autumn 2008, and they are on the verge of suffering a similar loss in the next several weeks. My sincere considered opinion is that the stock market breakdown is part of a plan, one to permit or even force a political change toward a powerful grandiose second event of inflation. Fiscal stimulus and monetary accommodation have been withdrawn in the past few weeks, as the mythical recovery is permitted to take root. Its fruit is rotten, infested, and trampled. A shock to public sentiment will open the flood gates to a new bigger round of monetary inflation. The first one was all for the big bankers. The second one will be all for the USEconomy, on the verge of a powerful breakdown, if not collapse, since no remedy has been pursued since Lehman Brothers failed, while both AIG and Fannie Mae required the cover of federal sponsored darkness.
The S&P stock index decline will be at least as bad as the autumn 2008 decline. Claims of Price/Earnings ratios being low are pure deception, since earnings are derived from lax accounting rules. The indicators are dire, strong, and undeniable. The 50-day moving average (in blue line) is soon to cross below the 200-day MA (in red line). Small armies of technical analysts do indeed notice this vital signal, a reliable one hardly shrouded in mystery or abstruse theory. The 50-day MA used to serve as a support since autumn 2008, but now it is acting as a ceiling of resistance (in green circles). Notice the transition it endured in February 2010, flipping to resistance. Other similar MA indicators come with the 20-week MA crossing below the 50-week MA, a matching event in progress, but a little slower in developing. The bearish MA crossover is a clear Death Cross signal. A powerful decline is imminent and unavoidable, one to shake the world financial markets globally. It will permit political policy change to come, as sentiment will turn to fear. Look for the S&P500 index to retest the March low, which reached 666, the signatory number within certain spiritual chambers. Any US stock rout will be matched in the London FTSE and European bourses.
A queer statistic has emerged that underscores the perversion that is Wall Street and the stock market. High Frequency Trading has not gone away. A couple months ago, when it was exposed during a single day swoon event, such trading was responsible for 83% of the entire New York Stock Exchange trade volume. Somehow the word 'Incest' comes to mind as the bank cartel competes toward a liquidity climax with fewer able bodied players remaining each year. A liquidity analysis by Abel-Noser indicates that the US stock market has morphed into a concentrated pool where the top 99 stocks account for 50.1% of total domestic trading volume. In June, the top 20 stocks accounted for 28.9% of all domestic volume, an increase to record level logged each month. The HFT algorithms are forced methodically in a reduced number of only the most liquid stocks. The game actually results in gradual removal of players from the market. The US stock market could eventually degrade into an arena without volume. At that time, large pension and mutual funds will be forced to consider that their vast portfolios might find artificial value like the volume-less mortgage bonds tucked away in the bank balance sheets. They might be difficult to redeem.
GOLD OCCUPIES A DIFFERENT PLACE
The effect will differ from the past, due to the Paradigm Shift in full force. The effect on the gold & silver prices will surely include some initial downside movement. However, this time around, with sovereign debt under heavy siege, the way it plays out will be very different. However, this time around, with gold having taken a reserve currency role, the way it plays out will be very different. However, this time around, with USFed balance sheets badly bloated, the way it plays out will be very different. Imagine a powerful stock market decline panic with a coincident crisis in sovereign debt. USTreasury Bonds might still attract big money, but this time it is hardly Smart Money, since the USTBond is scheduled to be the last sovereign debt targeted for attack. Usage of new government debt to prevent the disaster in asset prices will force a vicious cycle of ruin, which will undermine remaining confidence in all things paper. Gold has in the last several months claimed an important spot at the opposite head of the monetary reserve dinner table. It is a key ingredient in non-Anglo backroom restructure initiatives. The United States bankers are trapped in quasi-depression 18 months deep into a Zero Interest Rate Policy climate, after Round #1 of Quantitative Easing is complete, and wasted fiscal stimulus that sent the annual budget deficit above 10% of GDP.
Recall a Jackass Axiom: The first nations that abandon the USDollar and the US$-based financial system, both with banking and commerce, will be the leaders in the next chapter, part of the Paradigm Shift and its effect. Recall the Sound Money Corollary: The next global reserve currency cannot be paper based, operating by fiat and faith, since no paper currency can replace a fiat paper global reserve currency. Thus the Intl Monetary Fund and their ill-conceived Special Drawing Rights plan would serve as a mere raft of papyrus reeds, tied together, heading toward a dangerously high waterfall.
Gold lies at the nexus of the systemic vulnerability, the linchpin holding the fiat system together, whose controlled price mechanism is ready to release. The interference to prices has damaged a host of markets anchored to the USDollar, since few seek equilibrium, most being distorted. Without the constant props, these markets would all likely collapse of their own weight toward significantly lower price levels, real levels. The effect on the gold price from Round #1 was a push down followed by a powerful boomerang up to new highs. The effect on the gold price from Round #2 will be similar in direction but more powerful in upward movement. Think $2000 gold !!
OMINOUS COMPARISONS OFFER WARNING
Realities are soon to force emergency changes to official policy. We are about to observe a repeat of the Great Depression stock decline pattern, with pattern recognized broadly, despite all the printed money squandered. That pattern was identified by a strong recovery off a nasty decline, mislabeled a return of a stock bull by the compromised, followed by even lower price levels. A titanic battle is underway. On one side is the political cabal that stands ready to exploit the situation to carry out its political agenda of concentrated power, even emergency power like martial law or at least rationed supply. On the other side is the Weimar option of hyper-inflation, as the extreme new money creation leaks into the system and forces prices of everything upward.
A dynamite type risk exists, unfortunately. If much higher price inflation becomes engrained and recognized, if the official price inflation statistics begin to reflect reality, then grand powerful effects would come to the bond market. Worse still, grand powerful effects would come to the shadowy appendage to the bond market, the credit derivatives. Refer to both the Interest Rate Swaps and the Credit Default Swaps. Recall the USGovt has a huge conflict of interest.
They sell USTreasury Bonds. They have issued over a fresh $Trillion each year for the past two years, enough to threaten their bond structures. So decline to the USEconomy and the US stock market coincides with their objectives and motives. They must create more bond demand to match the extraordinary supply. Heavy duty price inflation would kill the plan. But a stock breakdown fits well with the plan. Heavy duty price inflation would ignite a credit derivative explosion, or a series of explosions, as their long fuses are both hidden and criss-crossed. These fuses would be easily lit from a bout of broad price inflation.
The key to holding the USEconomy hostage is the excess reserves held in the USFed vaults, and the tighter lending rules among banks. Bear in mind that three types of credit creation exist in the USEconomy. In order they are 1) vendor finance (which has largely vanished), 2) bond securitization (which has largely vanished), and 3) bank loans (which have largely vanished). So the USEconomy is being strangled. One could say that vendors and bond issuers and banks recognize the heightened risk of falling collateral value and weakening income streams. They react by lending less.
The current economic decline might have much more powerful trouble spots ahead. The US housing market has begun a powerful resumed second decline. Somehow, university textbooks in Economics curriculum failed to cover the current situation of extraordinarily high bank inventory of foreclosed homes, working opposite to an extraordinarily strong decline in home purchase applications, amidst a banking system heavily dependent upon $100 billion temporary intermediate credit lines, while the big banks park their Loan Loss Reserves at the USFed, and the USFed struggles to avoid repeated powerful Quantitative Easing programs. (That last very long sentence should be read a few times in repetitive fashion.) If truth be known, prominent Think Tanks fund many university professor chairs, thus perpetuating an education process that inculcates fallacious theories.
Recall that the entire 2002-2005 USEconomic expansion was built atop the housing & mortgage bubble, a chapter fully endorsed by even the erudite prestigious among the national economic counselors. To be sure, the May end to the home tax credit has made an effect. The housing market will enter its fourth consecutive year of decline. My ongoing forecast stated since 2007 was for two years of home price bear market. My 2008 forecast was for two more years of home price bear market. My 2009 forecast was for two more years of home price bear market. My 2010 forecast is for two more years of home price bear market. That is a better and more credible approach to forecasting then a more honest approach: ENDLESS HOUSING BEAR MARKET.
The upcoming S&P500 stock plunge will serve a purpose, perhaps a planned purpose. It will permit the USGovt to announce with expedience a resumed Quantitative Easing in order to prevent an economic collapse. Renewed stimulus and accommodation will be rendered a snap, easy as pie, with no political obstacles. Deficits be damned, the system must be saved !!
The Gulf of Mexico disaster will soon spread like an oil-soaked wildfire of economic destruction down South, which could easily affect the supply chain with grain delivery up the Mississippi River. Barges with oil-soaked hulls will not be permitted up the river. In fact, electricity power generating stations along the coast are at risk of shutdown, due to the likelihood of oil entering the water intake valves. Rumors of evacuation plans have been circulating, confirmed by USMilitary sources. The great majority of US states are at the end of their rope with budget shortfalls and benign federal neglect, certain to result in broad layoffs, even dismissal of police and teachers and garbage collectors. These three groups of workers are commonly viewed as most critical.
Mega-trend comparisons offer further strong warnings, reflecting powerful changes compared to autumn 2008. They pertain to the USGovt debt picture with horrendous $1.5 trillion annual back-to-back deficits. They pertain to the monthly $200 to $300 billion federal debt issuance that has become a standard billboard feature, along with newfound scrutiny toward the USTreasury complex regarding bid sources, primary dealers, and monetization. They pertain to the new reality of the 10-year USTreasury yield (TNX) that used to be hovering around 4.0% level but is now under the 3.0% red light level. They pertain to the US housing market set for a surprising sinkhole event, since supply is not only rising, but is hidden, while demand is falling, absent the tax credit stimulus. A nasty shock event from liquidity drought is coming right around the corner. First sight will be the SPX in a heavily publicized tumble. It will scare the USCongress for sure, inviting hasty reaction. The plunge will scare the wits out of the US public again, fearful of their savings.
Four other mega-trend factors hover with a nasty specter. 1) The nation of Mexico is in the midst of a failed state breakdown into pure chaos. 2) The Gulf of Mexico is fast turning into a kill zone, both ecologically and economically. 3) The European Bank Bailout with its $1 trillion in aid fixed absolutely nothing across the Atlantic, but did send a few $100 billion into USTreasurys. 4) Refusal to permit big financial firms to fail removed reform and restructure entirely, whose 20 months of progression since autumn 2008 has taken a heavy toll.
RENEWAL OF EXTREME MONETARY STIMULUS
The US money supply shows powerful declines in circulating money. Contrast this graph to that of the broad money supply, which counts funds tucked away in the bank vaults and the USFed itself, ensuring no usage for lending capital. Broad money supply is skyrocketing, as money velocity is careening downward. The Leading Economic Indicators look ominous. None of these many factors were showing such dire signals 20 months ago (maybe LEI was). Anyone who believes the USFed and financial runners in the USGovt will not reverse course and begin Quantitative Easing Round #2 are just plain simple-minded. A confirmation signal comes from the sub-3% long bond among USTreasurys. Recoveries coincide with the long bond yield rising, not falling. This contradiction of recovery claims escapes most economists, who often show little insight.
As the USEconomy falters in the second half already underway, instead of recovering, the USGovt will soon announce the expedience of a resumed Quantitative Easing in order to prevent an economic collapse. The USGovt will also soon work toward a massive economic stimulus plan in almost emergency atmosphere, which might actually contain some stimulus, unlike the last evasive political display. The states will send governors to WashingtonDC directly, in acts of desperation.
The entrenched economists will continue to harp for more of the same non-remedies that have failed to avert systemic tribulation. Keynesian abuses have rendered the nation into a policy corner, as bankers with economists at their side press harder on what has failed to work !! Private discussions among bankers reveal a palpable worry, as typical remedies have accomplished nothing. We hear of much less bang for the buck. We hear shallow thinking like volume of stimulus being important, whereas quality of stimulus is hardly mentioned, a Santelli theme on CNBC. The choices seem like polarized options. Solutions are sorely and universally absent.
Look out below. Investors had better be in gold & silver heavily. It is time to roll out the new currency (Nordic Euro) backed in part by gold, and maybe oil too. Buy with both hands any further hefty discount offered on physical metal gold & silver. This time, the COMEX and London Metals Exchange are at greater risk than in autumn 2008 since so much physical metal has been withdrawn in recent months. The paper gold & paper silver markets must be watched closely, for worsened divergences from the physical market. Physical gold & silver demand is enormous. Vast inventory supply in silver is exiting the metals exchanges, without much reporting. Rising potential for an event can be detected.
ABSENT LIQUIDATION, REFORM & RESTRUCTURE
Add the absent economic stimulus and absent monetary accommodation, the newest features after hollow political resolve supposedly has entered the room. The Obama Admin, like the Bush II Admin, does not comprehend that liberal money creation actually destroys capital, destroys businesses, and destroys income. The US political leaders and banking leaders have not learned the lesson of economics in half a century. Worse, the Obama Admin tax hikes are soon to kick in. They must pay for the Health Care Program. Many monthly health care payroll plans will triple in cost. Tragically, the banking and political leaders are caught in a bind fashioned from their own deceptions. They have been talking about a USEconomic recovery, fragile though it may be, a recovery they urge needs more nurturing. It needs more reality instead. So the bankers and politicians will let the USEconomy swim without life preservers, ride the bicycle without the training wheels, walk without crutches. A bad chapter is soon to be written. At least the economists in charge will be able to produce more demand for USTreasury Bonds, the most important bond they sell. The public, the investment community, might soon catch on. The USGovt and Wall Street have never made any legitimate effort to reform or restructure. Their entire purpose has been to secure as much bank aid as possible, and block any bonafide reform.
The tax cut stimulus is going away. The car purchase tax credits are going away. The mortgage bond monetization program is going away. The jobless benefit extension beyond 99 weeks is going away. The lack of job prospects is not going away. The missing incentive for business expansion is not going away. The vast budget gaps and pension obligations for many US states is not going away. The home foreclosures and bankruptcies are not going away. The challenges in securing credit and loans is not going away. The syndicate control of the USDept Treasury is not going away. The sacred defense budget is not going away.
http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/willie070810.html |
_________________ Minds are like parachutes.
They only function when open. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Fintan Site Admin

Joined: 18 Jan 2006 Posts: 4215
|
Posted: Sun Jul 25, 2010 4:02 am Post subject: |
|
|
Two very interesting videos of an
interview of Karl Denninger by Bill Still.
I'm not endorsing Denninger, just examining his ideas.
He does however cover a lot of interesting ground:
- Depression not Hyperinflation
Fed spending is not preventing deleveraging and disinflation,
because their printing bubble is smaller than the last one.
- 0% Inflation Policy.
By restricting the growth of credit to only match population
we restrain Government borrowing and prevent Boom/Bust.
- $1 Capital for every $1 of Unsecured Loans
Nice idea, but how do we get from here to there? This would
cause massive deleveraging and would have to be phased in.
- Collapse of the Euro.
Maybe a bit too pesimistic. Germany is in reasonably
good shape and a two tier Euro may yet emerge.
- US Banks MUST Fail.
- Dumbness of the Gold Standard.
Denninger smacks Ron Paul and says the idea is fruitcake.
Future taxation flows are sufficient backing for a currency.
- Imminent Financial Collapse II
By Novemember the system will have hit crisis again, or be
inthe first throes of it says Denninger. I have already said
the same -but it may be even earlier.
My Comment:
One of the most vital things missing is any mention of
a shift in taxation away from income and on to assets
-which ends the capital gains free ride and speculation.
That idea is a mainstay of the policies advocated by
Michael Hudson in another forum thread here.
Karl is not stupid. Funny how he does not seem to get that.
The import of all these vital and un-ignorable issues is to
spotlight the continuing collapse of the New World Order. _________________ Minds are like parachutes.
They only function when open. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
duane
Joined: 07 Mar 2007 Posts: 517 Location: western pennsylvania
|
Posted: Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:40 pm Post subject: |
|
|
They're coming to take it away
these bastards will keep pushing shit until someone pushes back
don't underestimate "old folks with guns" when it comes to Social Security
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/07/26/neel-kashkari-tarp-guru-s_n_659423.html
Neel Kashkari, TARP Guru, Supports Cutting Entitlements, Citing 'Me-First' Attitude Of Beneficiaries
Remember Neel Kashkari? Back during the financial crisis, Kashkari sat at the U.S. Treasury's Office of Financial Stability, where he was in charge of implementing the Troubled Asset Relief Program -- the fancy name for a wheelbarrow full of $700 billion in taxpayer money that went to revive the do-not-resuscitate banks of the world, which is exactly what those banks asked the government to do. Well, the whole experience made Kashkari terribly, terribly sad! So he went out into the woods to build himself a Cabin Of Emotions, where he could grieve over the fact that Washington, DC had lost the lustrous glamour that attracted him in the first place -- during the Iran-Contra hearings.
But since then, he was rescued from his doldrums by bond giant PIMCO, where he became its managing director of investment management. Now he's on the op-ed pages of the Washington Post, with a message for the olds: STOP BEING SO "ME-FIRST" and let us cut your entitlements!
A nation's culture can have a profound impact on its competitiveness. Our shared beliefs in free markets, fair play and the rule of law inspire entrepreneurs to pursue their dreams and give global investors confidence to bring their money to America. These beliefs have passed from citizen to citizen, from generation to generation. They have strengthened over our history and brought an important competitive edge to the United States.
Hey, let's remember some basic things before we go any further, shall we? "Free markets" equals "too big to fail banks will never be allowed to fail." "Fair play" equals "bailing out these too big to fail banks when they nearly destroy the economy while small banks die by the hundreds." "Rule of law" equals "big banks using derivatives to get around capital rules." Okay? Moving on!
Our belief in free markets is founded on the idea that each individual acting in his or her self-interest will lead to a superior outcome for the whole. The financial crisis has reminded us that free markets are not perfect -- but they do allocate capital better than any other system we know. A "me first" mentality usually makes markets more efficient.
Okay! So, a person who retires today probably entered the workforce in the mid to late 1960s. They acted in their self-interest, let's say, and this led to some "superior outcomes for the whole." It was so "me-first" of those people to not consider the possibility that decades after they started contributing to the nation's wealth, that another generation of idiots would come around and destroy it, leaving us with no other choice than to push those aging former societal contributors out onto ice floes to die! What jerks! Where was their foresight? Why weren't they smart enough to get way into toxic mortgage-backed securities? They could be the ones holding America hostage today!
Cutting entitlement spending requires us to think beyond what is in our own immediate self-interest. But it also runs against our sense of fairness: We have, after all, paid for entitlements for earlier generations. Is it now fair to cut my benefits? No, it isn't. But if we don't focus on our collective good, all of us will suffer.
Well, Neel Kashkari isn't going to suffer, because he works for PIMCO, remember? And PIMCO's brilliance was the way it strictly adhered to a "me-first" philosophy:
From the December 31, 2008, Talking Points Memo:
As of June 30th, 61 percent of PIMCO's holdings -- $500 billion -- were in the very mortgage backed securities that it's now being hired by the Fed to buy back on behalf of US taxpayers, according to a September Bloomberg report that cited data on PIMCO's own website.
That could explain why, as financial blogger Rolfe Winkler pointed out earlier today, PIMCO chief Bill Gross was sounding the alarm in early September about the disastrous fate that would befall the US economy unless the government started buying up troubled mortgage assets.
Story continues below
In a September 4 post on PIMCO's website, Gross warned:
If we are to prevent a continuing asset and debt liquidation of near historic proportions, we will require policies that open up the balance sheet of the U.S. Treasury.
Within days, Treasury did what Gross was asking. In other words, as Peter Cohan, a professor of management at Babson College, put it at the time in a post on Bloggingstocks.com:
Bill Gross, who manages $830 billion, has convinced the U.S. Treasury to use your taxpayer dollars to bail him out of his bad investments.
And Gross seems to have had his eye on the endgame for a while here too. Later that month, he argued in a Washington Post op-ed that a broader bailout -- what became TARP -- was also desperately needed, and he seemed to suggest that his own PIMCO would be a perfect candidate to manage the funds.
And now, Neel Kashkari is in the Washington Post today, arguing that cutting entitlements is akin to TARP because both are "unpopular decisions that are in our collective best interest." Except that TARP benefitted PIMCO greatly and, having been done a good turn, PIMCO rescued Kashkari from his sad little cabin in the woods. Some pigs are more collectively best-interested than others.
But Kashkari says we have to act now now now! Cut entitlements before it's too late!
If we wait until the bond market shuns Treasurys, the economic consequences could be dire. Virtually overnight, we could have far less money to spend on priorities such as defense, education and research. Once confidence in U.S. Treasury bonds is lost, it could take years to return.
Let's take a look at the bond market, shall we?
That red line indicates the interest rate yield on 2-year T-Bills, currently at about 0.6%. Now, there are plenty of market experts who will be willing to debate the fine points of this, but doesn't it seem like the world's investors a) find 2-year T-Bills to be one of the safest investments around and b) are really unconcerned about the U.S. deficit? When, exactly, is the confidence going to be lost? Will it be soon?
Fun fact: Right now, the 2-year T-Bill is seen as so safe that, judging by the yields, it's apparently riskier to get a 2-year CD from a bank. The average yield on a 2-year CD is about DOUBLE that of a 2-year T-bill, according to Bankrate.com. So investors are passing up double the yield in order to buy Treasuries.
Kashkari says, "Our leaders need to make the case for cutting entitlement spending by tapping into our shared beliefs of sacrifice and self-reliance." That word -- "our" -- seems awfully ironic! Pare back now, America, so there's money on hand to save the banks again! Shacks in the woods for everyone else. _________________ Birth is the first example of " thinking outside the box" |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
MichaelC

Joined: 06 Jul 2006 Posts: 1895
|
Posted: Mon Jul 26, 2010 3:50 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| Aren't those low T-bill (and other) yields due to the fact that the Fed is buying ("monetizing") the paper, thus keeping the interest rates low? |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Fintan Site Admin

Joined: 18 Jan 2006 Posts: 4215
|
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
MichaelC

Joined: 06 Jul 2006 Posts: 1895
|
Posted: Wed Jul 28, 2010 3:30 pm Post subject: |
|
|
zzzzzzzzzzz......how much longer will the NWO be able to beat this tired old horse...zzzzzzz......?
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100728/ap_on_re_eu/eu_germany_nazi_suspect |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Fintan Site Admin

Joined: 18 Jan 2006 Posts: 4215
|
Posted: Wed Aug 04, 2010 9:01 am Post subject: |
|
|
Looks Like We Are In Endgame....
Whatever you think about Max Keiser or the
Iranian 'Press TV' outlet on which he hosts
one of his shows, the issues he discusses
with Jim Willie have been hitting the financial
press in the last week. Links to articles below.
| Quote: | The Run on Bullion Banks Has Begun
July 26, 2010
For longstanding gold and silver investors who have waited patiently for an end to the bullion banks' collective ability to maintain their price-suppressing stranglehold on the market by means of massive leverage, naked short selling, and insidious opacity, their house of cards is finally in the process of falling down.
The BIS gold swaps were an injection of gold liquidity. If the gold market had never been transformed into fractional reserve system as Adrian Douglas has shown, then such a liquidity injection would never have been necessary.
Now, just when Douglas has conducted excellent research into the obvious implications of available data from the LBMA market in London (which accounts for 90% of global trade volume in gold), coincidentally they go and cease publishing the data.
The COMEX did the very same thing on this side of the pond when Douglas deduced the indentity of the two major price-suppressing operators on the COMEX as JP Morgan and HSBC (see Pirates of the COMEX). The COMEX then ceased listing position data in a way that indicated the number of entities involved.
Wherever holes in their hull of deception permit truth to leak out into the public sphere, the offending data is thereafter withheld. It's a pattern as clear as the night sky. And it follows the broader pattern whereby the first response of fraudsters when their crime is in jeopardy of being discovered is to engage in cover-up. As Douglas points out this morning, examples from history are plentiful, including the doctoring of the Watergate tapes and the shredding of documents by Enron's auditors. I hope gold and silver investors will view the LBMA's decision to cease publishing crucial data on the gold market as a giant red flag pointing to the degree to which the exchanges themselves are co-conspirators. [Yes ... you can shake your heads all you want if you have been so conditioned by the word "conspiracy" ... but independent of your own conditioning the word still has a definition ... and the structure of the gold market indeed is a structure of conspiracy.]
Here is Adrian Douglas' latest, and I also highly recommend a review of his other recent piece establishing the fractional reserve ratio in the global gold market at just 2.3% (one ounce of physical gold worldwide for every 45 ounces of gold sold).
The London Bullion Market Association has just taken the highly unusual step of blocking access to statistics relating to the trading activities of its member bullion banks. This information has been available to the public since 1997 but as of this week it is available only to LBMA members.
The LBMA has now commenced a cover-up with respect to the gold trading activities of its member bullion banks, withdrawing statistics from the public domain.
This appears not to be the only cover-up going on in the gold market.
For years the International Monetary Fund has made great fanfare of its mere contemplation of selling some of its gold, and actual sales by the IMF have been widely publicized. Since February the IMF has been surreptitiously selling large tonnages of gold each month, but these sales now are to be found only by digging through the IMF's financial statements, and even there the recipients of the gold are not disclosed. (See Reference 6 below.) One has to wonder why the IMF now is trying to fly under the radar with its gold sales.
Similarly it was recently discovered that the Bank for International Settlements didn't feel it necessary to announce its involvement in the largest gold swap in history, 346 tonnes. (See Reference 7 below.) The BIS swaps instead were discovered only because a market analyst dug through the footnotes of the bank's financial statements.
These developments have all the hallmarks of cover-ups.
In June the LBMA trading statistics showed that in May 2010 the average net daily trading in gold by LBMA member banks jumped a massive 50 percent from the month before to 24 million ounces each day from 16 million ounces each day. That translates to $7.5 trillion annually. If an operation is running on a razor-thin fractional reserve basis, such step changes are often fatal.
It appears that a run on the bullion banks has commenced.
Investors could have been blindsided by the events of 2008, but anyone who misses the writing on the wall about what's going on in the bullion markets is just foolish. The bullion banks have sold far more metal than they can deliver, and more and more customers are asking them to deliver. This has led to back-door bailouts and cover-ups.
Anyone who has "unallocated" bullion should be very concerned. The LBMA itself describes owners of "unallocated bullion" accounts as "unsecured creditors." That means that the account holder has no collateral or title to any bullion.
I interpret the LBMA's move to secrecy as a sign that the opportunity to get real metal is closing fast.
----------------------------------------------------
As usual, Adrian is right on the money. Hedge funds are already beginning to hold actual gold bullion in place of ETFs, and even just a miniscule uptick in that trend is all it would take to send the bullion banks running for cover and completely unable to satisfy demand for their existing obligations.
As the world wakes up to the reality that most gold that has been sold in the world is nothing but a fraudulent piece of paper lacking any semblance of a capacity to fulfill the contract with bullion, prices for the actual physical metal will surge beyond $2,000 faster than most observers will have thought possible. It will be extremely volatile and downright scary ... and the ripple effects for the global financial system can scarcely be overstated. For holders of reliable bullion holders like CEF or PHYS, the gains will be extraordinary. Miners, the only steady source for the real bullion that the world would then be clamouring for, will enjoy a level of profitability that will be legendary.
------------------------------------------
And from AEP today: The Death of Paper Money
... [W]e should be careful of embracing the opposite and overly-reassuring assumption that this is a mild replay of Japan’s Lost Decade, that is to say a slow and largely benign slide into deflation as debt deleveraging exerts its discipline.
Japan was the world’s biggest external creditor when the Nikkei bubble burst twenty years ago. It had a private savings rate of 15pc of GDP. The Japanese people have gradually cut this rate to 2pc, cushioning the effects of the long slump. The Anglo-Saxons have no such cushion.
There is a clear temptation for the West to extricate itself from the errors of the Greenspan asset bubble, the Brown credit bubble, and the EMU sovereign bubble by stealth default through inflation. But that is a danger for later years. First we have the deflation shock of lives. Then -- and only then -- will central banks go to far and risk losing control over their printing experiment as velocity takes off. One problem at a time please.
-----------------------------------------
Wondering how you'll know when the fraud really starts to disintegrate in the face of physical demand?
Keep your Foolish gaze locked upon the premiums over NAV for the more reliable instruments like CEF and PHYS. That premium is like a gauge of interest in physical bullion over mere promises or semblances of physical. Once those premiums reach well past 20% to stay, then the spot prices will carry incrementally less influence in determining the true value of gold and silver.
It won't be long now.
http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/the-run-on-bullion-banks-has/424880 |
There's also a good discussion
of Us Fed & Treasury issues,
touching on 9/11 and the
infamous Cantor Fitzgerald
angle.
| Quote: | SMOKING GUNS OF US TREASURY MONETIZATION
Jim Willie CB - July 22, 2010
A significant feature of fiat money systems is the privilege for the custodian of the reserve currency to engage in regular practices of ham-fisted monetary management, even permission for fraudulent centers to flourish, surely developing a debt monster that an economy grows dependent upon.
Fannie Mae might be the most offensive blight on such privilege. Unfortunately, many shenanigans have matured into grand fraud. They are smoking guns of USTreasury fraud and counterfeit, with strong whiffs of monetization. Much more monetization is to come, fully endorsed and sanctioned.
Other clever techniques are being used, given the Quantitative Easing has officially been halted. A close look reveals that Excess Cash Reserves at the USFed are being drawn down, which are thus funding the USGovt deficits in the last couple months. Ironically, such reserves held by big banks at the US Federal Reserve were the only thing preventing vast insolvency. Now that cash is being used, and the USFed insolvency is slowly exposed........
FULL ARTICLE:
http://www.gold-eagle.com/editorials_08/willie072210.html |
_________________ Minds are like parachutes.
They only function when open.
Last edited by Fintan on Fri Aug 06, 2010 4:44 pm; edited 1 time in total |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Fintan Site Admin

Joined: 18 Jan 2006 Posts: 4215
|
Posted: Wed Aug 04, 2010 5:28 pm Post subject: |
|
|
| Quote: | Equity funds had estimated outflows of $3.85 billion for the week,
compared to estimated outflows of $1.32 billion in the previous week.
Domestic equity funds had estimated outflows of $4.10 billion....
http://www.ici.org/research/stats/flows/flows_08_04_10 |
Tyler Durden says:
| Quote: | What more can we say here that we have not said for 12 times in a row already. Retail investors are dunzo.
The latest update from ICI shows that the week ended July 28 saw a record 13th consecutive outflow from domestic mutual funds as stocks bloody surged.
Good thing the HFT algos can now essentially communicate with each other in the actual unique flow patterns of cancelled stock bids, thereby announcing to all other participants the plans of one which promptly become those of all, in the most under the radar concerted effort to "club" the market's HFT participants as one big trading force.
As for retail: it is all over. We won't even chart the latest move.
Figure it out: nearly $50 billion in outflows YTD as the market is well green.
When the coordinated computerized front running game (of stupid carbon based lifeforms) in which one Atari machine sells to another, and repeats into infinity, while all book liquidity rebates, comes to an end and the theater is finally perceived to have been burning all along, watch out for the binary stampede.
http://www.zerohedge.com/article/and-scene-ici-reports |
_________________ Minds are like parachutes.
They only function when open. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
Fintan Site Admin

Joined: 18 Jan 2006 Posts: 4215
|
Posted: Fri Aug 06, 2010 10:21 am Post subject: |
|
|
Great graphic resource for getting a handle
on what's going on nationwide across the US.
SELECT an Index and then click PLAY
| Quote: |
http://hosted.ap.org/specials/interactives/_national/stress_index/ |
_________________ Minds are like parachutes.
They only function when open. |
|
| Back to top |
|
 |
|
|
You cannot post new topics in this forum You cannot reply to topics in this forum You cannot edit your posts in this forum You cannot delete your posts in this forum You cannot vote in polls in this forum
|
|